The odds of a woman president just went up

Editorial / Opinion Piece / Blog Post

July 11, 2019

The odds of a woman president just went up


By Elizabeth Ralph,

We’re way more likely to have a woman president in 2020 than ever before. I know, you’re thinking, isn’t that just because there are six women in the presidential race right now — the most in history?

Not so fast: Simple probability isn’t the only factor at work here. In Politico Magazine today, Cyrus Mehri writes there is a huge difference between having just one woman in the race versus multiple women. A single woman faces enormous headwinds; multiple women alter the collective expectations of the electorate, dramatically increasing a woman’s chances of making it to the end.

How does he know this? Mehri has a lot of experience advising major businesses on diversity — he helped the NFL write its diversity-promoting Rooney Rule — and he’s found that when companies interview just one woman or minority candidate in a pool of white males, there’s statistically almost no chance the diverse candidate will get the job. But when multiple diverse candidates are in the competition, the chances that a diverse candidate will get the job skyrocket.

Click here to read the full article published by Politico on 21 June 2019.

Focus areas: